QILU BANK(601665) 东兴证券·2025-04-28 12:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Qilu Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to market benchmarks [10]. Core Views - Qilu Bank's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with 2024 revenue increasing by 4.6% year-on-year and net profit rising by 17.8%. In Q1 2025, revenue grew by 4.7% and net profit by 16.5% [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality is improving, as evidenced by a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.17% in Q1 2025, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter. The provision coverage ratio has increased to 324.1% [2][5][9]. - Qilu Bank's loan growth remains robust, with a year-on-year increase of 12.6% in 2024 and 12.3% in Q1 2025, primarily driven by corporate loans [4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Qilu Bank's revenue for 2024 was reported at 125 billion, with a projected growth rate of 4.6% for 2025. The net profit for 2024 was 50 billion, with a growth rate of 17.8% [11]. - The bank's net interest income increased by 7.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, contributing to stable revenue growth [3]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio has shown a downward trend, with a current rate of 1.17% and a provision coverage ratio of 324.1%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [5][9]. - The bank's retail loan NPL ratio has increased to 2%, reflecting broader industry trends, while corporate loan NPL rates remain stable [9]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Qilu Bank's total loans reached 3,371 billion in 2024, with a significant portion allocated to infrastructure and wholesale retail sectors [4][11]. - The bank's deposit growth is also strong, with a projected increase of 10.4% in 2025 [11]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a high growth trajectory, with projected net profit growth rates of 16.9%, 15.2%, and 14.9% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10][11]. - The report anticipates that the narrowing of interest margin declines will further support profitability [10].