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中矿资源(002738):锂盐量增本降穿越下行周期,铯铷盈利实现高增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable profit growth as lithium salt production increases and costs decrease, with strong pricing power in cesium and rubidium products. The copper and germanium projects are anticipated to open new profit growth avenues. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 0.89 billion, 1.19 billion, and 1.50 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.23, 1.64, and 2.07 yuan per share, leading to PE ratios of 23, 18, and 14 times [5] Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of 5.36 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 10.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.76 billion yuan, down 65.7% year-on-year. The Q4 2024 revenue was 1.80 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 78.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 56.4% [7] - For 2025 Q1, the company achieved a revenue of 1.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.4%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 14.4% [7] - The lithium salt sales volume for 2024 was 43,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 145%, with a significant cost reduction of 42% per ton [7] - The cesium and rubidium segment generated revenue of 1.40 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with a gross profit of 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a gross margin of 78% [7] - The copper project in Zambia is progressing, with mining operations already underway and expected to be operational by the end of 2026 [7]