Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates operational resilience and is actively expanding its overseas business and integrating AI technology [3] - The company is a leading player in the domestic mattress industry, benefiting from increasing consumer acceptance of mid-to-high-end soft bed products [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 10.0 yuan per 10 shares, totaling an expected cash dividend distribution of 394 million yuan [2] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.603 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.43%, and a net profit of 767 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.36% [2] - The company's cash flow from operating activities was 1.091 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 43.63% [2] - The gross margin for 2024 was 50.08%, a decrease of 0.21 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 13.70%, a decrease of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year [4] Product and Market Analysis - The company's main business in furniture manufacturing generated revenue of 5.522 billion yuan in 2024, contributing 98.56% to total revenue [3] - The mattress segment achieved revenue of 2.679 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.78%, while the bed frame segment saw a slight decrease in revenue [3] - The company reported a 61.07% increase in overseas revenue, reaching 155 million yuan, indicating successful overseas market expansion [3] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 6.017 billion yuan, 6.436 billion yuan, and 7.011 billion yuan respectively [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.99 yuan, 2.15 yuan, and 2.30 yuan respectively [5] - The company is expected to maintain a stable gross margin around 51.1% in 2025 [7]
慕思股份（001323）：业绩呈现韧性，期待出海与AI打开空间