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赛轮轮胎(601058):千帆过尽显韧性,逆风扬楫启新程

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience with record high revenue and profit in 2024, achieving total revenue of 31.802 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.063 billion yuan, up 31.42% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.411 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.29%, and a net profit of 1.039 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.47% [1] - The company’s production capacity release has effectively supported performance, with sales volume reaching 72.16 million units in 2024, a 29.34% increase year-on-year, and 19.37 million units in Q1 2025, up 16.84% year-on-year [4] - The overseas factories in Vietnam and Cambodia have significantly contributed to profitability, with net profits of 1.585 billion yuan and 0.904 billion yuan respectively, accounting for 39% and 22% of total net profit [4] - The company has successfully launched several new products, enhancing its competitive edge in various market segments [4] Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to reach 36.963 billion yuan, 43.028 billion yuan, and 49.708 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.2%, 16.4%, and 15.5% respectively [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 4.172 billion yuan, 5.124 billion yuan, and 6.225 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 2.7%, 22.8%, and 21.5% respectively [7] - The diluted EPS for 2025-2027 is expected to be 1.27 yuan, 1.56 yuan, and 1.89 yuan [7]