NEW HOPE(SZ:000876) HTSC·2025-04-29 01:10Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 10.77 RMB [7][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 103.06 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 27.27%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 90.05% to 474 million RMB [1][2]. - The focus on core business operations has led to significant operational optimization, with expectations for continued cost reduction and improved financial stability [1][3]. - The company’s pig farming business has shown a substantial reduction in losses due to rising pig prices and cost optimization, while the feed business remains a stable profit contributor [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the feed segment generated 68.7 billion RMB in revenue, down 15% year-on-year, while the pig farming segment saw a revenue increase of 43% to 30.4 billion RMB [2]. - The average weaning cost per pig decreased by 90 RMB to 290 RMB, and the average survival rate for fattening pigs improved to 92% [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2025 and 2026, predicting net profits of 1.35 billion RMB and 440 million RMB respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 introduced [4]. - The target price of 10.77 RMB corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 1.89 for 2025, reflecting the company's improving financial condition and operational metrics [4][8].