Workflow
菜百股份(605599):业绩超预期,投资类产品表现亮眼

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at a "Buy" level, indicating a strong performance relative to the benchmark [12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 20.23 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 719 million yuan, up 1.73% [1]. - The performance of investment products has been particularly strong, contributing to 64% of total revenue in 2024 [3]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 77.89% for 2024, with a cash dividend of 0.72 yuan per share [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.887 billion yuan, a 17% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 165 million yuan, up 43% [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 8.222 billion yuan, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 320 million yuan, an increase of 17% [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 8.34%, down 1.67 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Product Performance Summary - In 2024, the revenue from gold jewelry decreased by 11% to 5.473 billion yuan, while precious metal investment products saw a 45% increase to 12.906 billion yuan [3]. - The sales volume of gold jewelry dropped by 26.42% due to rising gold prices, while sales of precious metal investment products grew by 18.64% [3]. Channel Performance Summary - The company reported online sales of 4.818 billion yuan, accounting for 23.8% of total sales, with a significant growth of 60.26% in the e-commerce segment [4]. - The offline channel generated 15.095 billion yuan, representing 74.7% of total sales, with a 16.47% average sales growth in Beijing [4]. Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.122 billion yuan, 27.211 billion yuan, and 29.837 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 13%, and 10% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 808 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 12% increase [5].