YTCO(SH:600066) Guoxin Securities·2025-04-29 02:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][24]. Core Views - The company's profitability remains robust, with a 15% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q1 2025, despite a slight decline in revenue [1][8]. - The sales structure is expected to gradually improve, supported by effective cost control and a strategic shift towards high-end products [2][3]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from both domestic recovery and international expansion, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector [3][24]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 64.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.0% year-on-year, while net profit reached 7.55 billion yuan, an increase of 14.9% [1][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 18.9%, reflecting a slight decline due to changes in accounting standards and sales structure [2][16]. - The net profit margin improved to 11.8%, up by 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable profitability [2][16]. Sales and Market Outlook - The company sold 9,011 units in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.59% [1][8]. - The company anticipates continued growth in export sales, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment, and expects to benefit from domestic policies promoting the replacement of old buses [3][24]. - The company has launched new light commercial vehicles, achieving a 129% increase in sales in Q1 2025, which is expected to contribute to revenue growth [2][3]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company is positioned to benefit from a recovery in domestic bus demand and increasing international sales, particularly in regions with low penetration of new energy vehicles [3][24]. - The company aims to enhance its competitive edge through technological advancements and a shift from product sales to service-oriented solutions [3][24]. - Financial forecasts indicate a steady increase in net profit, projected at 46.6 billion yuan for 2025, with an expected EPS of 2.10 yuan [4][24].