Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" based on the anticipated performance recovery and earnings inflection point [11]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2024 due to structural adjustments, but a performance turnaround is expected in Q1 2025 [2][3]. - The company is focusing on profit-oriented strategies, moving away from low-margin orders in the renewable energy sector [4]. - Significant improvements in cash flow from operating activities were noted, indicating better collection and management of receivables [5]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 2.504 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.08%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 404.4 million yuan, down 25.87% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, with a net profit of 122 million yuan, up 26.5% [3]. Margin and Cost Structure - The gross margin for 2024 was 35.26%, a decrease of 2.69 percentage points year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a gross margin of 38.10%, an increase of 3.07 percentage points [4]. - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 16.15%, down 2.79 percentage points, but improved to 19.64% in Q1 2025 [4]. Industry Performance - The revenue breakdown by industry in 2024 showed significant declines in the lithium battery and photovoltaic sectors, while the 3C and automotive sectors experienced growth [2]. - The company is expanding its FA (Factory Automation) and FB (Flexible Business) operations, with a focus on product development and addressing long-tail orders [6]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected net profit for 2025 is 553 million yuan, with further growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 791 million yuan by 2027 [11]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 31.76 in 2024 to 16.24 by 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [12].
怡合达(301029):2024年报、2025年一季报点评:营收结构优化调整,业绩拐点已至