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鱼跃医疗:2024年报及2025年一季报点评:25Q1季报高基数下好于预期,期待新品快速增长-20250429

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported better-than-expected results in Q1 2025 despite a high base effect from the previous year, with expectations for rapid growth from new products [1] - The company achieved total revenue of 7.566 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5.09% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.806 billion yuan, down 24.63% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.436 billion yuan, an increase of 9.17% year-on-year, and a net profit of 625 million yuan, a decrease of 5.26% year-on-year, which was better than expectations [1] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company’s revenue from respiratory therapy solutions was 2.597 billion yuan, while clinical instruments and rehabilitation solutions generated 2.093 billion yuan [1] - The company’s overseas sales reached 949 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 30.42% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 50.30%, and the net profit margin was 25.58%, showing improvements compared to Q4 2024 [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 1.954 billion yuan and 2.211 billion yuan, respectively [1] - The expected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 17, 15, and 13 times, respectively [1]