CNNP(601985) HTSC·2025-04-29 03:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Nuclear Power [6] Core Views - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 8.777 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, primarily due to higher-than-expected income tax expenses [1][2] - The company is projected to benefit from the commissioning of new nuclear power units in 2025, which is anticipated to drive net profit growth [1][2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.18 RMB per share for 2024, with a payout ratio increasing to 42% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 77.272 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3% [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 20.273 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13% [1] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 9.403 billion RMB, with an expected year-on-year growth of 7.13% [11] Nuclear Power Segment - As of April 2025, the company has 26 operational nuclear units with a total installed capacity of 24.96 GW, and 12 units under construction with a capacity of 13.92 GW [2] - The company expects to commission 2.42 GW, 1.39 GW, and 5.04 GW of new nuclear capacity in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] Renewable Energy Segment - The company has 30.69 GW of operational renewable energy capacity, with 20.68 GW from solar and 10.01 GW from wind [3] - The renewable energy segment's net profit is expected to stabilize in 2025 after a decline of 14% in 2024 due to falling electricity prices [3] Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 19% and 14% respectively, with the new estimates being 9.403 billion RMB and 10.740 billion RMB [4] - The target price has been adjusted to 10.12 RMB per share, down from a previous estimate of 12.81 RMB [4]