中简科技：25Q1业绩持续倍增，军民航需求爆发-20250429

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown continuous high growth in performance over three consecutive quarters, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 [2][3] - The demand for military and civil aviation products is expected to surge, driven by new orders and the transition from the 14th Five-Year Plan to the 15th Five-Year Plan [3][4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth in the military aircraft supply chain and the increasing demand for high-value new products [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 812 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.39%, and a net profit of 356 million yuan, up 23.16% [2] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 239 million yuan, reflecting a 62.89% year-on-year growth, while net profit surged to 113 million yuan, a 91.29% increase [2] - The company's cash flow from operating activities for Q1 2025 was 176 million yuan, the best quarterly performance since Q2 2023, indicating accelerated collections [4] Market Demand and Product Development - The military aircraft supply chain is experiencing a demand explosion, with new orders expected to accelerate, particularly for next-generation aircraft [4][5] - The company is actively engaging with customers to negotiate new contract terms for 2025, anticipating a significant increase in demand [7] - The partnership with China National Petroleum Corporation (Sinopec) is expected to enhance market expansion in the civil aviation sector [10] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.072 billion yuan in 2025, 1.372 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.659 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 501 million yuan, 657 million yuan, and 794 million yuan [11][14] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.14 yuan, 1.49 yuan, and 1.81 yuan respectively [11][14] - The company maintains a strong outlook with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 31 for 2025, decreasing to 19 by 2027 [11][14]