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新泉股份(603179):系列点评七:2025Q1业绩符合预期,剑指全球内外饰龙头

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [5][11]. Core Views - The company aims to become a global leader in interior and exterior automotive components, leveraging its expansion into new energy vehicles and international markets [4][3]. - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 13.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.5%, with a net profit of 0.98 billion yuan, up 21.2% year-on-year [1][4]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 3.52 billion yuan, a 15.5% increase year-on-year, although it experienced a 3.8% decline quarter-on-quarter [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 17.5%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the first quarter of 2025 showed a gross margin of 19.5%, a slight decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s operating income is projected to grow from 17.07 billion yuan in 2025 to 23.97 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits expected to rise from 1.36 billion yuan to 2.06 billion yuan during the same period [4][9]. Market Expansion - The company is actively expanding its customer base, including partnerships with Tesla and other new energy vehicle manufacturers, which is expected to drive significant growth [2][3]. - The company is enhancing its global footprint by establishing production bases in regions such as Southeast Asia, North America, and Europe, with recent investments in Slovakia and the U.S. [3][4]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts that the company will benefit from increased market share due to its competitive pricing and responsiveness, particularly as global automotive manufacturers seek to reduce costs [2][4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 2.79 yuan in 2025 to 4.23 yuan in 2027, reflecting the anticipated growth in profitability [4][9].