菜百股份（605599）：一季度归母净利润增长17%，首饰金持续产品创新

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][19] Core Views - The company reported a 17.32% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q1 2025, with revenues reaching 8.22 billion yuan, a 30.18% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The growth in the company's investment gold business and continuous product innovation in jewelry gold contributed to its strong performance [1][10] - The company is expected to benefit from rising gold prices, which are anticipated to drive investment demand for its precious metal products [19][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 8.34%, down 1.67 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the increased proportion of lower-margin precious metal investment products [2][14] - The company achieved a net operating cash flow of 1.539 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a significant increase of 131.63% year-on-year, benefiting from sales growth and inventory management [2][17] - The company plans to continue expanding its store network, having opened 4 new stores in Q1 2025, bringing the total to 102 stores [10][1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 791 million yuan and 882 million yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 989 million yuan [3][19] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 24.57 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 21.46% [4][20] - The company’s earnings per share are expected to increase from 1.02 yuan in 2025 to 1.27 yuan in 2027 [4][20]