Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 958 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 71.53%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 32.12% to 17 million yuan. The non-recurring net profit increased by 63.81% to 13 million yuan [3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 252 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 86.39%, and a net profit of 10 million yuan, up 839.66% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit surged by 1371.38% to 8 million yuan [3] - The company's gross profit margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 20.94% and 17.69%, respectively, showing a decline of 4.5 percentage points and 7.54 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to significant growth in new energy and other businesses, which led to a substantial increase in corresponding costs [3] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The high polymer materials business maintained steady growth, achieving a revenue of 493 million yuan in 2024, up 28.82% year-on-year. However, domestic communication business revenue declined due to shifts in capital expenditure towards digital transformation [4] - The company expanded its overseas market presence, which helped alleviate profit pressure despite domestic challenges. The power sector saw a revenue increase of 33.18% to 167 million yuan in 2024, supported by collaborations with major clients like Southern Power Grid and State Grid [4] - The automotive sealing strip business, primarily through Wuhu Xianglu, benefited from major clients such as Chery and Geely, resulting in a revenue growth of 62.17% in 2024 [4] Growth Drivers - The thermal management solutions segment showed robust development, with significant investments in fixed assets and supply chain optimization. The company plans to invest 90 million yuan in a new liquid cooling plate project to meet the demands of major clients like CATL [5] - The report anticipates that the company's polymer materials business in the communication and power sectors will maintain high gross margins, while the liquid cooling plate business is expected to see performance improvements starting in 2025 [5] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.14 billion yuan in 2025, 1.57 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.99 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 53 million yuan, 70 million yuan, and 92 million yuan [7] - The expected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 55x, 41x, and 32x, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [5][7]
科创新源(300731):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:三赛道高增驱动跃升,热管理+汽车引领新动能