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恒邦股份:有望受益于金价上行、计划发展金矿-20250429
Humon ShareHumon Share(SZ:002237) HTSC·2025-04-29 07:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the upward fluctuation in gold prices and plans to expand its gold mining operations [3][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 18.959 billion RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 8.88% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7.48%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 156 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.52% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 116.59% [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's operating revenue and costs both decreased, with revenues down 8.88% year-over-year and costs down 9.34%. The decline in costs was greater than that of revenues, leading to an increase in gross profit to 606 million RMB and a gross margin of 3.20% [2]. - The company experienced a significant increase in investment income, up 34.32% year-over-year, primarily due to increased returns from its investment in the Wanguo Gold Group [2]. Strategic Outlook - The company aims to enhance its gold mining operations and is accelerating the construction of the Liaoshang Gold Mine project while seeking opportunities to acquire quality mines. The outlook for gold prices in 2025-2026 is positive, with expectations of continued upward movement [3][4]. - The report highlights that recent tariff impacts have led to historical highs in gold prices, suggesting a shift in asset preferences towards gold amid rising uncertainties in the global political and economic landscape [3]. Valuation Metrics - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 are projected at 0.74, 0.93, and 1.29 RMB, respectively. The target price is set at 12.18 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 16.5 for 2025, which reflects a 20% discount compared to the average PE of comparable companies [4][7].