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苏州银行(002966):2024年报暨2025年一季报点评:拨备覆盖率高位,净息差降幅收窄

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company maintains good growth in performance, with operating income for 2024 and Q1 2025 reaching 12.22 billion and 3.25 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 3.0% and 0.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 and Q1 2025 is 5.07 billion and 1.55 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 10.2% and 6.8% [1] - Non-interest income significantly contributed to revenue growth, with a 27.6% increase in 2024, while Q1 2025 saw a decline in non-interest income growth to 3.3% [1][2] - The net interest margin decline has narrowed, with average net interest margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 at 1.38% and 1.34%, down 30bps and 18bps year-on-year [2] - The company shows strong asset quality with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.83% as of March 2025, remaining stable compared to the beginning of the year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Operating income for 2024 is projected at 12.22 billion, with a growth rate of 3.0% [5] - Net profit for 2024 is estimated at 5.07 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 5.42 billion, 5.96 billion, and 6.59 billion respectively, with growth rates of 6.9%, 10.0%, and 10.7% [4][5] Asset Quality - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio, which decreased to 484% at the end of 2024 and further to 447% by March 2025 [3] - The non-performing loan generation rate for 2024 is 0.60%, which is still below the industry average [3] Market Position - The company benefits from a clear geographical advantage and has shown a gradual stabilization in net interest margins [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 0.76x for 2025, with a dividend yield of 4.93% [4]