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宁波银行(002142):信贷高景气、业绩稳增长,静待拨备拐点

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ningbo Bank [1] Core Views - Ningbo Bank's performance in Q1 2025 shows steady growth with a revenue increase of 5.6% year-on-year and a net profit growth of 5.8% year-on-year, driven by high credit demand and net interest income [4][6] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.76%, while the provision coverage ratio has decreased to 370.5% [4][6] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 7.2%, and 9.8% respectively [6] Financial Data Summary - Q1 2025 revenue reached 185 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6% - Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 74 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% - The bank's total loans increased by 20.4% year-on-year, with new loans in Q1 2025 amounting to 164.1 billion yuan [4][5][10] - The bank's total assets as of Q1 2025 were 3,396.04 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 17.6% [10] Loan and Deposit Performance - The bank's loan growth was primarily supported by corporate loans, which saw a growth rate of nearly 30% in Q1 2025, while retail loan growth was more cautious [6][8] - Total deposits increased by 19.9% year-on-year, reaching 2,182.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [10] Profitability Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for Q1 2025 was reported at 1.80%, with a slight decline from the previous year [10] - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 29.16%, indicating better operational efficiency [10] Asset Quality - The report notes an increase in the annualized NPL generation rate to 0.92% in Q1 2025, but the overall asset quality remains stable due to proactive write-offs [6][10] - The bank's provision for loan losses increased, reflecting a cautious approach to potential credit risks [6][10]