Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 10.13 CNY and a reasonable value of 11.46 CNY [4]. Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in net interest margin and an improvement in asset quality indicators, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance [3][8]. - The company's Q1 2025 revenue, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 6.2%, 7.9%, and 8.2% year-on-year, respectively [8][10]. - Key drivers of performance include significant growth in both interest-earning assets and loans, with year-on-year increases of 23.9% and 18.8%, respectively [8][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue growth was 6.2%, with a decrease of 2.56 percentage points compared to the previous year [10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 8.2%, reflecting a decline of 2.60 percentage points from the previous year [10]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) for Q1 2025 was 16.50%, an increase of 2.91 percentage points year-on-year [10]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 0.86%, down 3 basis points from the beginning of the year [8][10]. - The provision coverage ratio stood at 344%, a decrease of 7 percentage points from the start of the year, indicating sufficient provisions against potential loan losses [8][10]. Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was estimated at 1.80%, up 12 basis points from Q4 2024 [8][10]. - The company has effectively managed its pricing strategies, leading to a decrease in the cost of liabilities by 19 basis points [8][10]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts a net profit growth of 6.55% and 6.94% for the years 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at 2.19 CNY and 2.35 CNY [8][10]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 4.62X for 2025 and 4.31X for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [8][10].
江苏银行(600919):单季息差回升,质量前瞻改善