Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company demonstrated operational resilience through cycles and continues to explore new business opportunities [4]. - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 168.31 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42.72 billion yuan, growing by 10% [2][4]. - The company reported a slight decline in gross margin, with Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 gross margins decreasing by 3.1 and 1.1 percentage points, respectively, primarily due to rising raw material prices [10]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of 168.31 billion yuan, net profit of 42.72 billion yuan, and net profit after deducting non-recurring items of 37.42 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 7%, 10%, and 1% [2][4]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 42.27 billion yuan, net profit of 10.09 billion yuan, and net profit after deducting non-recurring items of 9.02 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of +3%, -5%, and -16% [2][4]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 39.22 billion yuan, net profit of 9.75 billion yuan, and net profit after deducting non-recurring items of 8.55 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of +3%, +5%, and +5% [2][4]. Business Segment Performance - Traditional business growth has slowed but remains above industry averages, with revenue growth of 3% in both Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 [10]. - The electrical connection business, smart electrical lighting, and new energy business saw year-on-year growth rates of +4.0%, +5.4%, and +104.7% in 2024, respectively [10]. - The company plans to focus on three strategic directions: smart ecology, new energy, and internationalization, with significant expansions in retail and operational capabilities [10]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 46.0 billion yuan, 50.5 billion yuan, and 55.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 18, and 17 [10]. - The dividend payout ratio for 2024 is projected to be 72.6%, with a dividend yield of 3.3% [10].
公牛集团(603195):2024A、2025Q1点评:经营韧性穿越周期,持续开拓新业务