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中直股份(600038):24年营收增长稳健,民机研发与市场开拓进展积极

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 34.78 billion, 39.96 billion, and 45.12 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 698 million, 830 million, and 957 million yuan [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.85, 1.01, and 1.17 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 41.76, 35.13, and 30.45 [3]. - The company has made significant progress in civil aircraft research and market expansion, benefiting from low-altitude economic policies [4][12]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported revenues of 26.59 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 36.56%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 604 million yuan, reflecting a 55.71% increase [2]. - The projected financials for 2024 include revenues of 29.77 billion yuan and a net profit of 556 million yuan, indicating a slight decline of 7.98% compared to the previous year [2][5]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 10.47%, a decrease of 2.49 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Market and Operational Insights - The company is actively expanding into emergency rescue and general aviation markets, with ongoing development of the AC series civil helicopters [4][12]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in net profit, attributed to tax incentives, despite a decline in revenue due to reduced product delivery [5][6]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 29.16 billion yuan, with a total share count of 820 million [7].