ROBAM(SZ:002508) HUAXI Securities·2025-04-29 13:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 11.213 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-over-year growth of 0.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.577 billion yuan, down 8.97% year-over-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.817 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.78%, and a net profit of 375 million yuan, up 4.28% year-over-year [1] - The company anticipates a recovery in growth from Q2 to Q3 2025 due to a low base effect [2] Revenue Analysis - The revenue growth in Q4 2024 was significantly driven by national subsidies, with various product categories showing mixed performance [2] - Specific product revenue changes include: - Range hoods increased by 2.51% - Gas stoves increased by 3.96% - Dishwashers increased by 4.22% - Water heaters increased by 5.47% - Integrated stoves decreased by 29.63% [2] Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin improved from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, but net profit margin faced pressure due to rising expense ratios [3] - The company reported a gross profit margin of 49.66% for 2024, down 1.00 percentage points year-over-year, and a net profit margin of 14.07%, down 1.40 percentage points year-over-year [3] - In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 52.72%, an increase of 2.08 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was 16.38%, down 1.43 percentage points year-over-year [4] Financial Forecast - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 11.788 billion yuan, 12.424 billion yuan, and 13.139 billion yuan, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 5.13%, 5.40%, and 5.76% [8] - Corresponding net profits are projected to be 1.678 billion yuan, 1.806 billion yuan, and 1.947 billion yuan for the same years, with year-over-year growth rates of 6.36%, 7.64%, and 7.83% [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.78 yuan, 1.91 yuan, and 2.06 yuan for 2025 to 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11.07, 10.28, and 9.54, respectively [8]