GoodWe Technologies (688390) 民生证券·2025-04-29 14:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 41.05 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company's profitability is under short-term pressure, but with the deepening of its global layout and accelerated inventory destocking of overseas inverters, the report is optimistic about the company's continued recovery in profitability. The heat pump business is expected to provide new growth momentum [3][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company demonstrated significant improvement in cost control capabilities, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios decreasing by 1.02, 0.16, 1.43, and 0.49 percentage points respectively. This led to a notable improvement in profitability, with gross margin and net margin increasing by 4.11 and 2.80 percentage points respectively [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.738 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 8.36%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -0.62 billion CNY, with a non-recurring net profit of -1.94 billion CNY, indicating a shift from profit to loss. In Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 1.794 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.41% [1][4]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.882 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 67.13% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.88%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -0.28 billion CNY, with a non-recurring net profit of -0.63 billion CNY, showing a narrowing of losses [1][2]. Product and Market Development - The company's products are sold globally, with significant shipments in 2024, including 599,500 inverters, of which 548,300 were grid-connected inverters and 51,200 were storage inverters. The overseas shipment ratio was approximately 51.13% [2]. - The company has expanded its product offerings with the launch of the latest SDTG3 series photovoltaic inverters, increasing the power range to 40kW, and achieving a maximum efficiency of 98.7% [2]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.602 billion CNY, 10.447 billion CNY, and 12.431 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 439 million CNY, 560 million CNY, and 716 million CNY [4][10]. - The report anticipates a significant recovery in profitability, with projected PE ratios of 23x, 18x, and 14x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4].