GSP GROUP(SH:605088) Xinda Securities·2025-04-30 02:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 net profit exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9%. The revenue for Q1 2025 was 893 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 21% [1][3] - The solid-state battery business is expected to gradually reach production capacity starting mid-2026, while the robot bearing business is further expanding growth potential. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 394 million, 467 million, and 584 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.15, 2.55, and 3.19 yuan, and PE ratios of 16, 13, and 11 times [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 25.18%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 2.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net margin was 9.25%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.6 percentage points [1][4] - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 3,180 million yuan in 2023 to 8,970 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.1%, 26.4%, 21.5%, 36.3%, and 34.8% respectively [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 284 million yuan in 2023 to 584 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.5%, 4.8%, 32.1%, 18.6%, and 25.0% respectively [5] Business Development Summary - The company’s main business is progressing steadily, with limited impact from U.S. tariffs due to the unique position of the domestic auto parts aftermarket industry. North America accounts for approximately 23% of revenue, and the company has sufficient production capacity flexibility [4] - The semi-solid battery business is set to begin shipments in 2026, with a planned production capacity of 2.1 million cells and systems, which is expected to significantly enhance revenue and profit. The company has strategic partnerships for robot bearings to leverage market resources and sales channels [4][3]