Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Tongling Co., Ltd. [3] Core Views - The profitability of the company's junction boxes has significantly declined due to dual impacts from pricing and costs, with a notable drop in gross margin from 22.90% in 2023 to 15.43% in 2024 [1] - The company is expanding into the automotive parts sector, which is expected to contribute positively to profitability, with automotive parts revenue reaching 300 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 18.9% of total revenue [2] Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.587 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.04%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 56.73% to 71.40 million yuan [1][4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 419 million yuan, up 2.65% year-on-year, with a net profit of 20.88 million yuan, down 41.64% [1] - The average selling price of photovoltaic junction boxes decreased by 18.0% from 15.54 yuan per unit in 2023 to 12.74 yuan per unit in 2024 [1] Profitability Outlook - The profitability of junction boxes is expected to recover in 2025, with a projected gross margin of 14.5% in Q1 2025, an increase of 4.7% from Q4 2024 [2] - The automotive parts business is anticipated to enhance the company's overall profitability and risk resilience, with a gross margin of 27.52% reported for this segment in 2024 [2] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 109 million yuan, 164 million yuan, and 208 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.91 yuan, 1.36 yuan, and 1.73 yuan [3][4]
通灵股份：2024年年报及25年一季报业绩点评：接线盒盈利能力下滑，汽车部件成第二主业-20250430