Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 22.77 CNY based on a 69 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure but is expected to grow in the medium to long term. The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with earnings per share projected at 0.33 CNY, 0.61 CNY, and 1.01 CNY respectively [2][9]. - The company reported a revenue of 721 million CNY for 2024, a decrease of 5.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 108 million CNY, down 32.4% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 185 million CNY, a decline of 2.35% [4][9]. - The company is facing increased competition in the two-sex health sector, leading to a 20.87% decline in revenue from this segment. However, there is significant growth potential in the gastrointestinal medication market, with new product registrations expected to boost revenue [9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 721 million CNY in 2024 to 1.52 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 31.9% [4][11]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 56.7% in 2024 to 71.7% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 15.0% to 28.2% over the same period [4][11]. - The company’s net profit is forecasted to rise from 108 million CNY in 2024 to 428 million CNY in 2027, indicating a strong recovery and growth trajectory [4][11].
泰恩康（301263）：24年报&25年一季报点评：业绩短期承压，看好中长期成长