Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Q1 performance of the company met market expectations, with revenue of 12.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 31%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 390 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 51% [8] - The self-supply rate of battery cells has increased to 40%, with a revenue target of 7-8 billion yuan for 2025 and production capacity expected to reach 1.2 million units per day [8] - The company is expanding its customer base in the energy storage sector, with expected losses narrowing in the future [8] - R&D expenses have increased, and cash flow performance is strong, with a net operating cash flow of 1.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 116% [8] - The company maintains a leading position in the consumer battery market, with a target price of 27.8 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025 [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023 is 47.862 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.24%. The forecast for 2024 is 56.021 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.076 billion yuan for 2023, with a year-on-year increase of 0.77%. For 2024, it is expected to be 1.468 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.43% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 0.58 yuan for 2023, increasing to 0.80 yuan for 2024 [1] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 32.40 in 2023 to 23.75 in 2024, and further down to 17.00 in 2025 [1]
欣旺达(300207):2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩符合预期,电芯自供率持续提升