Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory (SH:600809) Soochow Securities·2025-04-30 05:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue growth of 12.8% and a net profit growth of 17.3% for the fiscal year 2024, with a slight decline in Q4 2024 revenue and net profit [7] - For Q1 2025, revenue and net profit increased by 7.7% and 6.2% respectively, with a rise in sales expense ratio impacting profit growth [7] - The company aims to enhance shareholder returns with a dividend payout ratio of 60% for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.0% [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue (in million RMB) is projected to grow from 31,928 in 2023 to 36,011 in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.79% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million RMB) is expected to rise from 10,438 in 2023 to 12,243 in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.29% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 8.56 in 2023 to 10.04 in 2024 [1] Product and Regional Performance - The company's liquor revenue grew by 13.0% in 2024, with specific products like Qinghua and waist products showing strong performance [7] - Revenue growth in domestic and international markets was 11.7% and 13.8% respectively, indicating balanced growth across regions [7] Margin and Cost Structure - The gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 76.2% in 2024, driven by effective inventory control [7] - The net profit margin increased by 1.3 percentage points to 34.0%, attributed to better gross margin and tax rate improvements [7] Future Projections - The company’s net profit is projected to reach 13,470 million RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.02% [1] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 18.39, 16.13, and 13.68 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [1]