HEILAN HOME(SH:600398) HTSC·2025-04-30 06:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 10.15 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 20.96 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 2.7%, and a net profit of RMB 2.16 billion, down 26.9% year-on-year, which aligns with previous expectations [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 6.19 billion, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 0.94 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.5% [1]. - The company is focusing on solidifying its core apparel business while expanding into the sports sector and accelerating globalization efforts, particularly through the JD Outlet new business model [1][2]. Revenue Breakdown - For 2024, the main brand, group purchases, and other brands (including FCC and JD Outlet) generated revenues of RMB 15.27 billion, RMB 2.22 billion, and RMB 2.67 billion respectively, with growth rates of -7.2%, -2.5%, and +32.4% [2]. - Offline revenue for 2024 reached RMB 15.74 billion, with a total of 7,178 stores, while online revenue increased by 35.6% to RMB 4.42 billion [2]. Profitability and Costs - The company's gross margin remained stable at 44.5% in 2024, while the net profit margin decreased by 3.2 percentage points to 10.4% [3]. - Selling expenses increased by 2.9 percentage points to 23.1%, primarily due to the rise in direct store numbers and advertising costs [3]. - The company’s inventory turnover days increased by 47 days to 330 days, influenced by the consolidation of the FCC business and increased winter apparel inventory due to a warm winter [4]. Financial Forecasts - The report maintains net profit forecasts of RMB 2.78 billion for 2025 and RMB 3.11 billion for 2026, with an introduction of a 2027 forecast of RMB 3.39 billion [5]. - The estimated PE ratio for 2025 is set at 17.5x, with a target price of RMB 10.15 based on the company's steady development and new growth avenues [5].