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恒立液压(601100):公司简评报告:营收创历史新高,线性驱动项目进入批产阶段

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a historical high in revenue of 9.39 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 4.51%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.51 billion yuan, growing by 0.40% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 2.42 billion yuan, up 2.56% year-on-year, and a net profit of 618 million yuan, increasing by 2.61% year-on-year [7] - The company's diversification strategy is yielding results, with a notable increase in market share for excavator hydraulic pump and valve products, as well as growth in non-construction machinery products and continued expansion in overseas markets [7] - The linear drive project has entered mass production, and the Mexican factory has begun trial production, which is expected to contribute an additional production value of approximately 1.70 billion yuan upon reaching full capacity [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 93.90 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 42.83% and a net margin of 26.76%. The projected revenue for 2025 is 104.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.15% [6][7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 939 million yuan for the period [7] Cost and Expenses - The company experienced slight increases in various expense ratios, including sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses, attributed to global expansion and the linear drive project [7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on internationalization, diversification, and electrification strategies, which are expected to enhance its competitive edge in the hydraulic components market [7] - The linear drive project, funded by 1.4 billion yuan, has progressed to mass production, with significant R&D efforts leading to the development of multiple product lines [7] Future Projections - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is 2.75 billion yuan, 3.07 billion yuan, and 3.47 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.05, 2.29, and 2.59 yuan [6][7] - The company's P/E ratios for the next three years are projected to be 35.91, 32.17, and 28.48 [6][7]