HUAYOU COBALT(SH:603799) Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-04-30 07:16Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core View - Downstream demand is mainly driven by rigid purchases, and the willingness to stock up has not increased. Social inventories continue to accumulate, raw material inventories in downstream sectors are at a high level, and warehouse receipt inventories are sufficient. In the short term, the futures price is expected to be affected by these factors [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 68,250 yuan/ton, down 600 yuan/ton [1]. - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 66,500 yuan/ton, down 600 yuan/ton [1]. - The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1,750 yuan/ton, with no change [2]. Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China, Li20: 5.5% - 6%) has an average price of 776 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan/ton [1]. - Lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) has an average price of 895 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton; lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) has an average price of 1,535 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton [2]. - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) has an average price of 6,600 yuan/ton; phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) has an average price of 7,700 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton [2]. Lithium Futures - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2505 is 66,100 yuan/ton, down 2.31%; lithium carbonate 2506 is 66,240 yuan/ton, down 1.75%; lithium carbonate 2507 is 66,260 yuan/ton, down 1.63%; lithium carbonate 2508 is 67,460 yuan/ton, down 1.52%; lithium carbonate 2509 is 67,660 yuan/ton, down 1.6% [1]. - The price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 1,990 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton; the price difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 140 yuan/ton, down 280 yuan/ton; the price difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 160 yuan/ton, down 300 yuan/ton [2]. Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 32,255 yuan/ton, down 135 yuan/ton [2]. - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 146,550 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton; ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 117,285 yuan/ton, down 140 yuan/ton; ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 123,815 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 131,864 tons, up 259 tons; smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 52,400 tons, up 270 tons; downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 42,823 tons, up 1,089 tons; other inventory (weekly, tons) is 36,641 tons, down 1,100 tons [2]. - The registered warehouse receipt (daily, tons) is 33,477 tons, up 630 tons [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of外购锂辉石精矿 is 72,369 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 5,061 yuan/ton; the cash cost of外购锂云母精矿 is 73,476 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 7,825 yuan/ton [3]. Industry News - On April 23, 2025, according to Reuters, Chinese Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt will replace South Korea's LG Energy Solution as the strategic investor in a major electric vehicle battery project in Indonesia [3]. - On April 3, 2025, Australian lithium mining company Galan Lithium (ASX code: GLN) rejected the joint acquisition offer of its Argentine Hombre Muerto West (HMW) and Candelas lithium projects from Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt and Renault Group. The 150 - million - dollar offer was considered "opportunistic and undervalued" by Galan's management [3].