King's Luck(SH:603369) Huachuang Securities·2025-04-30 07:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 75 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 11.55 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.41 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year [1]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.6 billion yuan, down 7.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 330 million yuan, down 34.8% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 5.1 billion yuan, an increase of 9.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.64 billion yuan, up 7.3% year-on-year [1]. - The company aims for a revenue growth target of 5%-12% for 2025, with expectations for V3 and expansion in the provincial market to drive growth [5]. Financial Summary - 2024 Financial Performance: - Total Revenue: 11,546 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 14.3% - Net Profit: 3,412 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 8.8% - Earnings Per Share (EPS): 2.74 yuan - Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): 17 times [1][9]. - 2025 Financial Projections: - Total Revenue: 12,578 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 8.9% - Net Profit: 3,647 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 6.9% - EPS: 2.93 yuan - P/E: 16 times [1][9]. - 2026 and 2027 Projections: - 2026 Total Revenue: 13,641 million yuan, Growth: 8.5% - 2027 Total Revenue: 14,695 million yuan, Growth: 7.7% - 2026 Net Profit: 3,930 million yuan, Growth: 7.8% - 2027 Net Profit: 4,235 million yuan, Growth: 7.8% [1][9]. Market Performance - The company has shown a consistent increase in market share within the province, with a notable revenue increase of 27% in provincial markets and a 19% increase in external markets in 2024 [5]. - The company’s cash flow and contract liabilities are reported to be in a relatively healthy state, with a contract liability of 540 million yuan at the end of Q1 2025 [5].