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天味食品(603317):公司信息更新报告:收入利润短期承压,期待并购协同效应释放

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianwei Foods is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue and net profit were below expectations, with revenue at 640 million and net profit at 70 million, representing year-on-year declines of 24.8% and 57.5% respectively. This was attributed to factors such as early inventory stocking for the Spring Festival, channel inventory clearance, and slightly lower-than-expected demand recovery [2][3] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.3 percentage points year-on-year to 40.7%, while the net profit margin fell by 8.56 percentage points year-on-year. This decline in profitability was mainly due to changes in product mix and increased expense ratios as a result of lower revenue [3] - The company is focusing on expanding its small B channel and has made acquisitions to enhance its market position. The expectation is that the synergies from these acquisitions will gradually be realized, supporting long-term growth [4] Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2023 to 2027, the projected revenue growth rates are 17.0%, 10.4%, 10.6%, 14.2%, and 13.9% respectively, with net profit growth rates of 33.7%, 36.8%, 11.3%, 12.0%, and 12.4% [6] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 17.8, 15.9, and 14.1 respectively, indicating a decreasing trend in valuation multiples over the forecast period [6][11] - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 5,274 million in 2023 to 7,943 million in 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [10]