LBX(SH:603883) Ping An Securities·2025-04-30 07:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [1][7][13] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 22.36 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.36% year-on-year, with a net profit of 519 million yuan, down 44.13% year-on-year [3][4] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 33.17% in 2024, an increase of 0.62 percentage points, driven by the Torch Project which optimizes operations, procurement, and sales [6][7] - The company aims to enhance profitability through refined management practices, with net profit forecasts adjusted to 912 million yuan for 2025, 1.00 billion yuan for 2026, and 1.24 billion yuan for 2027 [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2024 are 22.36 billion yuan, with expected growth of 14.9% in 2025 and 13.6% in 2026 [5][11] - The net profit is projected to recover to 912 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 75.6% [5][11] - The gross margin is forecasted to increase gradually, reaching 35.0% by 2027 [5][11] - The company plans to continue expanding its store network, adding 1,703 stores in 2024, with a focus on key provinces to increase market share [6][7] Key Financial Ratios - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 7.9% in 2024 to 14.7% by 2027 [5][11] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 26.8 in 2024 to 11.3 by 2027, indicating potential value for investors [5][11] - The debt-to-asset ratio is forecasted to decline from 66.0% in 2024 to 61.0% in 2027, suggesting improved financial stability [5][11]