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菜百股份(605599):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:受益于金价上涨,持续强化产品力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company benefited from rising gold prices, leading to a significant increase in investment demand and product competitiveness [4] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 320 million yuan, up 17.32% year-on-year [1] - The company has expanded its product offerings and enhanced its online sales channels, resulting in a 60.26% year-on-year increase in e-commerce subsidiary revenue in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's overall gross margin was 8.34%, down 1.67 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company reported a revenue of 20.23 billion yuan in 2024, a 22.24% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 719 million yuan, reflecting a 1.73% growth [1][5] Growth Drivers - The company opened 4 new direct stores and plans to open 3 more in Q2 2025, capitalizing on the rising consumer investment demand due to increasing gold prices [3] - The revenue from precious metal investment products grew by 45.28% in 2024, and retail revenue from gold and jewelry increased by 30.53% in Q1 2025 [3] Profitability and Forecasts - The report projects an increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to 860 million yuan in 2025, a 19.65% growth, and further to 929 million yuan in 2026 [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to decline slightly, with estimates of 8.6% for 2025 and 8.4% for 2026 [13]