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索菲亚(002572):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:锚定多品牌全渠道全品类战略,一季度受计提公允价值损失影响利润承压
SFYSFY(SZ:002572) EBSCN·2025-04-30 08:45

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.49 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 10.0% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.37 billion yuan, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, revenue was 2.84 billion yuan, down 18.1% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 45.5% to 450 million yuan. For Q1 2025, revenue was 2.04 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of 12.1 million yuan, a significant drop of 92.7% year-on-year [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's wardrobe business generated 8.33 billion yuan in revenue, down 11.5% year-on-year, while the cabinet business saw a slight increase of 0.7% to 1.25 billion yuan. The wooden door business revenue was 540 million yuan, down 7.6% year-on-year. The main brand, Sophia, achieved 9.45 billion yuan in revenue, down 10.5% year-on-year, while the Milan brand grew by 8.1% to 510 million yuan [6][7]. Channel Performance - The company reported that the dealer channel generated 8.52 billion yuan in revenue, down 11.5% year-on-year, while the direct sales channel increased by 14.0% to 360 million yuan. The bulk channel revenue was 1.32 billion yuan, down 8.9%, and the integrated channel continued to grow, achieving 2.22 billion yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year [6][7]. International Expansion - The company has established 22 overseas dealers covering 22 countries and regions, and has partnered with quality overseas developers and contractors for approximately 80 projects across 21 countries, generating 75.69 million yuan in overseas revenue, an increase of 50.9% year-on-year [7]. Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on a "multi-brand, all-channel, all-category" strategy to adapt to the challenging domestic real estate market. It aims to accelerate the transformation of its business model and expand its overseas operations to create new growth opportunities. The revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards to 11.71 billion yuan and 13.12 billion yuan, respectively [9]. Valuation Metrics - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of 1.45 yuan for 2025, 1.66 yuan for 2026, and 1.88 yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11, 9, and 8 times [9][10].