美畅股份（300861）：成本优势显现，分红率大幅提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Meichang Co., Ltd. [2][6] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at 2.271 billion yuan, down 49.66% year-on-year, and net profit at 145.52 million yuan, down 90.84% year-on-year [3][4] - Despite the downturn in the photovoltaic industry, the company is expected to maintain profitability due to its cost advantages, which may lead to an increase in market share [5][6] - The company has a strong cash position, with cash and trading financial assets totaling 7.06 billion yuan and 3.020 billion yuan respectively, enhancing its risk resistance [5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be 2.271 billion yuan, a decrease of 49.66% from 2023, with a slight recovery expected in 2026 and 2027 [12] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 133.71 million yuan, reflecting an 8.12% decline from 2024, but is expected to grow in subsequent years [12] - The company's gross margin for 2024 is forecasted to be 17.34%, down 34.29 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant pressure on profitability [4][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.28 yuan, with a PE ratio of 65.20 [6][12] Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in the diamond wire manufacturing sector, with the highest global market share in the photovoltaic crystalline silicon cutting industry [7] - The current market downturn is seen as an opportunity for the company to increase its market share, as competitors may struggle with profitability [5][6] - The report anticipates that the company's strong cash flow and high dividend payout ratio, which increased from 4.53% in 2023 to 214.36% in 2024, will support its long-term growth [5][6]