顾家家居（603816）：25Q1业绩亮眼，以变革赢挑战

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q1 2025, achieving a revenue of 49.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.95%, and a net profit of 5.19 billion yuan, up 23.53% year-on-year [2][3] - The company faced challenges in its domestic traditional business, while its foreign trade business experienced medium to high-speed growth, with significant revenue contributions from various international markets [3][4] - The company is actively enhancing its overseas manufacturing capabilities and diversifying its product offerings, which is expected to drive future growth [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 184.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.81% year-on-year, and a net profit of 14.17 billion yuan, down 29.38% year-on-year [2][3] - The revenue breakdown by product for 2024 shows that sofas generated 102.04 billion yuan (up 9.14%), while custom furniture and IT services saw declines of 19.52% and 19.26%, respectively [3] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 32.72%, with a net profit margin of 7.67%, reflecting a slight decrease compared to the previous year [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 199.68 billion yuan, 214.03 billion yuan, and 228.74 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 8.1%, 7.2%, and 6.9%, respectively [5][7] - The expected net profit for the same period is 18.25 billion yuan, 19.78 billion yuan, and 21.3 billion yuan, with growth rates of 28.9%, 8.4%, and 7.7% [5][7] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.22 yuan, 2.41 yuan, and 2.59 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][7]