YUTO TECH.(SZ:002831) HUAXI Securities·2025-04-30 12:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable growth in its main business, with significant achievements in overseas expansion [3] - The revenue for 2024 reached 17.157 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.71%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.409 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.05% [2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders, totaling an expected cash dividend distribution of 546 million yuan [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue from paper packaging reached 16.015 billion yuan, up 8.10% year-on-year, contributing 93.35% to total revenue [3] - The company's overseas revenue grew by 36.81% to 5.097 billion yuan, accounting for 29.71% of total revenue [3] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 24.80%, a decrease of 1.43 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.46%, down 1.36 percentage points [4] Profitability and Cost Management - The company maintained stable profitability in its paper packaging business, with a gross margin of 25.62% [4] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 1.980 billion yuan, a decrease of 46.10% year-on-year [2] - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 13.44%, a decrease of 0.43 percentage points year-on-year [4] Future Outlook - The company is the largest producer of premium boxes globally, with a strong presence in the consumer electronics, high-end liquor, and tobacco industries [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 19.123 billion, 21.204 billion, and 23.479 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 1.83, 2.10, and 2.32 yuan [6][8] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a projected PE ratio of 11 for 2025 [6]