SPG(SH:600529) EBSCN·2025-04-30 12:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass [5] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 5.13 billion and net profit of 943 million in 2024, with year-on-year growth of 2.87% and 21.6% respectively [1] - The company is a leader in the domestic pharmaceutical glass market, with strong growth in overseas markets and a consistent increase in market share for its main products [3][2] - The gross margin improved to 31.7% in 2024, driven by better margins in molded bottles and other products [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass reported revenue of 5.13 billion, net profit of 943 million, and a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.17 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.2% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded revenue of 1.24 billion, with a slight decline of 2.0% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 1.3% to 220 million [1][3] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from molded bottles, brown bottles, butyl rubber stoppers, and controlled bottles was 2.35 billion, 1.16 billion, 290 million, and 210 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.9%, 3.5%, 11.9%, and 5.0% [2] - Domestic revenue was 3.59 billion, up 0.5%, while international revenue reached 1.47 billion, growing by 8.3% [2] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 31.7%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, with a final net profit margin of 18.4%, up 2.8 percentage points [2] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin was 30.2%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 18.0%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points [3] Earnings Forecast - The report forecasts net profits of 1.03 billion for 2025 and 1.14 billion for 2026, with growth rates of 9.5% and 10.0% respectively [4] - The estimated EPS for 2025 is 1.56, with a projected P/E ratio of 14 [4][11] Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast decreasing from 19 in 2023 to 12 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness over time [4][11] - The projected dividend per share for 2024 is 0.32, corresponding to a dividend yield of 1.4% [1][11]