SA(601021) Xinda Securities·2025-05-01 03:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in ticket pricing and is expected to optimize costs, which will aid in profit improvement [2][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 20 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.273 billion yuan, up 0.7% year-on-year [3][8] - The company is positioned as a leading low-cost airline in China, with strong growth potential and improving operational performance [9] Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 20 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.273 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 11.5% and 0.7% respectively [3][8] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, but the net profit decreased by 16.4% to 677 million yuan [2][3] Capacity and Utilization - The total Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) for 2024 increased by 16.1%, with domestic and international routes showing growth of 7.7% and 70.9% respectively [4] - The company’s fleet size reached 129 aircraft by the end of 2024, with a net increase of 8 aircraft, and the fleet utilization improved to 9.3 hours, an increase of 0.8 hours year-on-year [5] Cost Management - The average ticket price in the industry fell by 12.1% in 2024, while the company's unit revenue per RPK decreased by only 6.5%, indicating better price resilience compared to the industry [6] - The company’s unit ASK cost decreased by 3.3% to 0.316 yuan, benefiting from a reduction in fuel prices and improved fleet utilization [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.712 billion yuan, 3.027 billion yuan, and 3.330 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 19.3%, 11.6%, and 10.0% [9] - The report anticipates that the company will benefit from a potential recovery in ticket prices due to limited capacity growth in the industry [7][9]