ZHONGJIN GOLD(SH:600489) Huaan Securities·2025-05-01 06:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 655.56 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 33.86 billion yuan, up 13.71% year-on-year [5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 148.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.88%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.84%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.38 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.65% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.79% [5] - The average gold price in 2024 was 2386 USD/ounce, a year-on-year increase of 23%. The prices continued to rise, reaching 2660.3 USD/ounce in Q4 2024 and 2855.7 USD/ounce in Q1 2025 [6] - The company plans to produce 18.17 tons of gold and 79,400 tons of copper in 2025, with Q1 production of 4.51 tons of gold and 18,900 tons of copper, showing stable mining output [6] - The company invested 295 million yuan in exploration in 2024, completing significant drilling and exploration activities, which increased the reserves of gold and copper [7] Financial Summary - The company expects net profits of 43.7 billion yuan in 2025, 48.5 billion yuan in 2026, and 52.2 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 14, and 13 respectively [8] - Key financial metrics for 2024 include a revenue of 655.56 billion yuan, a net profit of 33.86 billion yuan, and a gross margin of 15.2% [9] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 65,883 million yuan, with a net profit of 43.66 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29% [9]