UNIS(000938) 民生证券·2025-05-01 07:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its potential to benefit from AI-driven demand for computing power and accelerated overseas expansion [4]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 79.024 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25.23% to 1.572 billion yuan [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant revenue growth of 22.25% year-on-year, reaching 20.79 billion yuan, although net profit declined by 15.75% to 349 million yuan [1]. - The company is experiencing strong short-term performance support due to a substantial increase in contract liabilities and inventory, driven by robust demand from downstream clients and proactive inventory management in response to supply chain uncertainties [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 79.024 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 2.22%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.572 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 25.23% [6]. - For the first quarter of 2025, revenue reached 20.79 billion yuan, marking a 22.25% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 349 million yuan, down 15.75% [1][6]. Business Segments - The domestic government enterprise business generated 44.239 billion yuan in 2024, up 10.96%, while international business revenue grew by 32.44% to 2.916 billion yuan [2]. - In Q1 2025, the domestic government enterprise business saw a 37.49% increase, contributing 12.255 billion yuan, and international business revenue surged by 71.83% to 1.051 billion yuan [2]. Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 2.23%, down 2.21 percentage points, while Q1 2025 gross margin was 15.7%, a decline of 4.3 percentage points [4]. - Financial expenses increased significantly by 410.87% to 386 million yuan, primarily due to rising interest expenses and exchange losses [4]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 2.103 billion yuan, 2.718 billion yuan, and 3.166 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 33, 26, and 22 [6][4]. - The company plans to advance its H-share listing to enhance capital strength and support global expansion [4].