中金黄金（600489）：黄金价涨贡献利润，Q1归母净利同增33%

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 655.56 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 33.86 billion yuan, up 13.71% year-on-year [5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 148.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.88%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.84%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.38 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.65% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.79% [5] - The average gold price in 2024 was 2386 USD/ounce, up 23% year-on-year, with prices continuing to rise into 2025 [6] - The company invested 2.95 billion yuan in exploration in 2024, resulting in an increase of gold reserves by 30.3 tons and copper reserves by 114,800 tons [7] Financial Performance - The company expects net profits of 43.7 billion yuan, 48.5 billion yuan, and 52.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 14, and 13 [8] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 65,883 million yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.5% [11] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 15.2% in 2024 to 16.9% in 2027 [11]