Investment Rating - The report downgrades the investment rating to "Accumulate" due to increased competition impacting profitability [4]. Core Views - The company, Xinhongye (301310.SZ), is a leader in specialty cables, with advanced technologies in robotics, nuclear fusion, and liquid-cooled ultra-fast charging cables [1]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.33%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 29.61% to 116 million yuan [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 755 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.35%, driven primarily by growth in automotive and energy storage businesses [1]. Revenue and Profitability - The revenue from new energy vehicle cables in 2024 was 1.486 billion yuan, up 37.71%, with a gross margin of 13.33%, down 2.38 percentage points from the previous year [2]. - The company’s photovoltaic cable revenue reached 731 million yuan, a 16.88% increase, with a gross margin of 4.4%, down 3.01 percentage points [2]. - Industrial cable revenue grew by 52.88% to 314 million yuan, with a gross margin of 10.39%, down 5.94 percentage points [2]. Technological Advancements - The company is involved in the ITER project, contributing to the development of cables for nuclear fusion equipment, which is expected to enhance performance and contribute to revenue growth [2]. - Xinhongye has developed ultra-flexible cables for humanoid robots, significantly surpassing the dynamic bending life limits of standard industrial robot cables [3]. - The company is focusing on high-end autonomous driving models and megawatt-level ultra-fast charging, becoming a core supplier for companies like BYD and Li Auto [3]. Financial Forecasts - The report predicts a decline in profitability due to intensified competition, with net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 set at 162 million, 221 million, and 289 million yuan respectively [4]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 23.09% for 2025, 21.34% for 2026, and 18.25% for 2027 [5]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 29, 21, and 16 respectively [5].
鑫宏业（301310）：2024年年报及2025年一季报点评：特种线缆龙头，机器人、核聚变、液冷超充线缆技术领先