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通富微电(002156):产能多地布局,与大客户共成长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.09 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 100 million yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items also reached 100 million yuan, growing by 10.2% [4][5]. - The company continues to invest heavily in research and development, with R&D expenses increasing from 290 million yuan in Q1 2024 to 370 million yuan in Q1 2025. This commitment to innovation is expected to support growth in response to rising demand in sectors such as artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, 5G communications, and automotive electronics [5]. - The global integrated circuit packaging and testing market is projected to reach 82 billion USD in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.8%. The demand for AI chips is anticipated to drive growth in GPU demand, with significant increases expected in storage chips, data centers, and edge computing in the coming years [5]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2025 to 2027, the company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.02 billion yuan, 1.33 billion yuan, and 1.66 billion yuan, respectively. Corresponding earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.67 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 1.09 yuan, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 38.1x, 29.2x, and 23.5x for 2025 [6][8]. - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow from 23.88 billion yuan in 2024 to 33.37 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.1% [8].