YINGJIA DISTILLERY(603198) Guohai Securities·2025-05-01 12:22Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 7.344 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.46%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.589 billion yuan, up 13.45% year-on-year [5][7] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 2.047 billion yuan, down 12.35% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.829 billion yuan, down 9.54% year-on-year [5][7] - The company’s high-end product series continues to show strong momentum in Anhui province, although performance has been slightly pressured due to low-priced liquor and challenges in the out-of-province market [7][8] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock performance over the last year shows a decline of 36.9%, compared to a 4.6% increase in the CSI 300 index [3] - As of April 30, 2025, the current stock price is 43.92 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 35.136 billion yuan [3] Financial Highlights - In 2024, the company’s mid-to-high-end liquor revenue was 5.713 billion yuan, up 13.76% year-on-year, while ordinary liquor revenue was 1.290 billion yuan, down 6.53% year-on-year [7] - For Q1 2025, mid-to-high-end liquor revenue was 1.720 billion yuan, down 8.57% year-on-year, and ordinary liquor revenue was 0.242 billion yuan, down 32.09% year-on-year [7] - The company’s gross profit margin increased to 73.94% in 2024, up 2.57 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the higher margin of the high-end product series [7] Future Projections - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.447 billion yuan, 7.826 billion yuan, and 8.484 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 2.651 billion yuan, 2.818 billion yuan, and 3.063 billion yuan [8][9] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 3.31 yuan, 3.52 yuan, and 3.83 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 12, and 11 [8][9]