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长江电力:2024年报&2025一季报点评:发电量稳增,财务费用持续改善-20250501

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in power generation, with a significant improvement in financial expenses [8][10] - The company aims to achieve a power generation target of 300 billion kWh in 2025, supported by favorable water resource conditions [10][15] - The company has increased its market-oriented trading volume, which is expected to enhance revenue and pricing [13][14] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 84,492 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32,496 million yuan, up 19.28% [9][10] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 17,015 million yuan, a growth of 8.68%, and a net profit of 5,181 million yuan, reflecting a 30.56% increase [9][10] - The company's financial expenses decreased significantly, contributing to higher profit growth rates compared to revenue growth [10][12] Operational Highlights - The total installed capacity of hydropower is 71,795 MW, with domestic hydropower accounting for 16.45% of the national total [10] - The company’s six hydropower stations generated 295.904 billion kWh in 2024, a 7.11% increase year-on-year [10][12] - The company has successfully implemented market-oriented pricing strategies, with the proportion of market transactions rising to 38.6% in 2024 [13][14] Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 35,028 million yuan, 36,715 million yuan, and 37,087 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 7.8%, 4.8%, and 1.0% [15] - The expected dividend payout ratio for 2025 is 70%, translating to a dividend yield of 3.4% [15]