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菲利华(300395):展望2027开启新一轮加速成长周期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The aerospace industry is experiencing an upward trend, significantly improving profitability year-on-year. The company has ample inventory and a substantial increase in construction projects to meet the ongoing industry growth [2][10]. - The company is focused on its core business, promoting high-quality development across the entire industry chain, continuously increasing R&D investment, and accelerating the development of new production capabilities [2][10]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 406 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.97%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 105 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 95 million yuan, up 93% year-on-year [4][10]. - The overall revenue slightly declined, but the gross margin improved by 10.32 percentage points to 49.96%. Other income, such as government subsidies, decreased, leading to a significant increase in net profit excluding non-recurring items [10]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a sufficient inventory balance of 739 million yuan and a 44.9% increase in construction projects to 385 million yuan, indicating further capacity expansion to accommodate ongoing industry growth [10]. R&D and Market Strategy - The company is continuously optimizing its industrial layout to release synergies across the industry chain. Key projects include the expansion of synthetic quartz glass materials and the precision processing of photomask substrates, which are expected to enhance production capabilities [10]. - The company is committed to strengthening its technological innovation capabilities through increased R&D investment, which reached approximately 249.94 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.98% [10]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 589 million yuan, 839 million yuan, and 1.167 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 87%, 42%, and 39%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 44, 31, and 22 times [10].