Grandblue Environment (600323) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-02 01:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.601 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.24%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 10.26% to 420 million yuan [2][4] - The company's operational efficiency has significantly improved, particularly in the solid waste business, which has shown a notable increase in operational efficiency [2][4] - The company is expected to complete the privatization of Yuefeng in the first half of 2025, which is anticipated to enhance both EPS and dividend yield [2][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 2.601 billion yuan, down 4.24% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 420 million yuan, up 10.26% year-on-year; and the non-recurring net profit was 418 million yuan, up 12.80% year-on-year [2][4] - The solid waste business generated revenue of 1.31 billion yuan, with a net profit of 331 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease in revenue of 8.52% but an increase in net profit of 32.61% [11] Operational Efficiency - The solid waste business's operational revenue structure has improved, with over 90% of revenue coming from operational activities [11] - The company achieved a significant increase in power generation efficiency, with a year-on-year growth of 4.95% and 6.17% in power generation per ton and grid-connected power, respectively [11] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The company reported a free cash flow increase of 339 million yuan to 224 million yuan, with operating cash flow net income growing by 74.54% [11] - Capital expenditures in Q1 2025 were approximately 373 million yuan, a decrease of about 100 million yuan year-on-year, with expectations for continued downward trends in capital expenditures throughout 2025 [11] Privatization and Market Expansion - The privatization of Yuefeng is progressing well, with key meetings scheduled for May 2025, and the transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025 [11] - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, with ongoing projects in Thailand [11] Dividend and Profit Forecast - The company has committed to a dividend growth of no less than 10% from 2024 to 2026, with a dividend yield of 3.45% as of April 28, 2025 [11] - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.79 billion yuan, 2.16 billion yuan, and 2.29 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.5x, 8.7x, and 8.3x [11]