Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 5.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 760 million, a decrease of 3% [1]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in new customer orders due to strategic expansion and deepening cooperation with emerging sports brands [1][2]. - The initial phase of new factory operations is impacting overall gross margin due to employee training periods, but the company is implementing measures to enhance operational efficiency [1]. - The company is adjusting its production strategy in response to changes in tariff policies, which affect supply chain decisions [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 4 billion, 4.7 billion, and 5.5 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.41, 3.99, and 4.68 [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 27.15 billion, with a growth rate of 13.1% [5]. - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is forecasted to be 5.97 billion, with a net profit margin of 14.67% [11]. Customer Base and Market Strategy - The company has a diverse customer base, primarily consisting of listed companies, with many clients showing growth in their performance [2]. - The company is continuously expanding its new customer base, which is crucial for stable growth [2]. Production and Operational Strategy - The company has accelerated the construction and production pace of new factories to meet rising capacity demands, with two new finished shoe factories already operational in Q1 2025 [1]. - The company is focusing on optimizing training mechanisms and advancing the deployment of intelligent production equipment to improve operational efficiency in new factories [1].
华利集团：新厂爬坡短暂拖累盈利，新客户订单显著增长-20250502